Analyst reports on Nigerian Breweries, UNILEVER, and NAHCO.

authordonne4real | July 30, 2008

Below is are summaries of the reports on Nigerian Breweries, Unilever and NAHCO. Lead Capital’s Q2 Economic Report is also available.
FSDH’s Research Report on Nigerian Breweries
1. A projected turnover of N145.27bn with a growth of 30%
2. Earnings Per Share projection of N3.26
3. Profit After Tax projection of N24.63bn
4. The stock is a BUY
FSDH-Nigerian Breweries Q2 Analysis (3)

FSDH’s Research Report on UNILEVER Nigeria PLC
1. Turnover projection of N40.05bn
2. PAT projection of N3.69bn
3. Divident Per Share projection of N0.83
4. The stock is valued at N25.05
5. The stock is a BUY
FSDH-Unilever Q2 Analysis (2)

Meristem’s Analysis of NAHCO
1. Competitive pressures are likely to erode the company’s monopoly status as current reforms are luring ground handling companies into the country
2. Believes that NAHCO will be negatively impacted by unexpected negative government regulations
3. Post-privatization growth rate of about 9% has been unimpressive
4. Believes the stock is overvalued by as much as 18%
5. The stock is a SELL
Meristem - NAHCO Analysis (Abridged) (25)

Lead Capital - Q2 Economic Report (4)

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Analysis of Starcomms PLC

Here are highlights from CSL’s initial analysis of Starcomms PLC whose stock was recently listed.

1. Listed as a BUY for the long-term
2. Believes that the management has a thorough understanding of the industry dynamics and as well as a clear growth strategy
3. A mobile penetration of just 28% in Nigeria means that there are lots of opportunities for growth
4. Believe that a fair value for the stock is N19.32

CSL-Starcomms Analysis (12)

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Current State of The NSE - Same as July 2007

authordonne4real | July 29, 2008

This image provides a good description of the current state of the stock market. The stock market is around the same spot as it was last year. The stock market index in July 2007 was around 52000. It went on a long rising streak to as much as 66000 points. But the fall has been continuous and drastic - now around 52500.

IMO, I dont think this is such a big deal. It shows that the market is now maturing and that some market correction took place.

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Weekly Market Reports From The Stockbrokers

authordonne4real | July 28, 2008

Here are the weekly market reports for the week ended Friday, July 25th prepared by FSDH, Zenith Securities, and Lead Capital.

The stock picks for the week from Zenith Securities and Lead Capital are also below.

FSDH-WeeklyReport-July25 (14)
ZSL - WeeklyReport-July 25 (10)
LeadCapital-WeeklyReport-July25 (14)
LeadCapital-StockPicks-July28 (17)
ZSL-StockPicks-July28 (9)

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Weekly report for the week ended July 25th, 2008

A turnover of 4.05 billion shares worth N43.75 billion in 73,782 deals was recorded this week, in contrast to a total of 3.4 billion shares valued at N40.83 billion exchanged last week in 71,899 deals. There were no transactions in the Federal Government Development Stocks, State Government Bonds and Preference Stocks sectors.

The Insurance subsector was the most active during the week (measured by turnover volume), with 2 billion shares worth N2.42 billion exchanged by investors in 10,713 deals. Volume in the Insurance subsector was largely driven by activity in the shares of Investment and Allied Assurance Plc. Trading in the shares of the Insurance Company accounted for 1.51 billion shares, representing 76% of the subsector’s turnover.

The Banking subsector, boosted by activity in the shares of Intercontinental Bank Plc, First City Monument Bank Plc and First Bank of Nigeria Plc, followed on the week’s activity chart with a turnover of 1.44 billion shares valued at N31.26 billion in 38,426 deals. Last week, the Insurance subsector led on the activity chart and was followed by the Banking subsector.

Price Movement:
The All-Share Index dropped by 3.57% to close on Friday at 50,422.78. The market capitalization of the 209 First -Tier equities closed lower at N10.10 trillion.

Nineteen (19) stocks appreciated in price during the week, higher than the eighteen (18) in the preceding week. Julius Berger Nigeria Plc led on the gainers’ table with a gain of N5.73 to close at N120.33 per share while Ecobank Transnational Incorporated followed with N2.53 to close at N40.13 per share. Other price gainers in the Top 10 category include:

• Ikeja Hotel Plc - N1.18
• Nestle Nigeria Plc - N1.00
• May & Baker Nigeria Plc - N0.94
• Ferdinand Oil Mills Plc - N0.68
• RT Briscoe (Nig) Plc - N0.27
• FTN Cocoa Processors Plc - N0.25
• First City Monument Bank Plc - N0.23
• Roads Nigeria Plc - N0.20

Ninety - Two (92) stocks depreciated in price during the week, higher than the ninety-one (91) in the preceding week. Also as in the preceding week, Chevron Oil Nigeria Plc led on the price losers’ table, dropping by N75.92 to close at N259.81 per share while Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc followed with a loss of N31.04 to close at N220.20 per share. Other price losers in the Top 10 category include:

• Flour Mills Nigeria Plc - N15.10
• Oando Plc . - N11.00
• Conoil Plc - N9.24
• Lafarge WAPCO Plc - N6.40
• PZ Cussons Nigeria Plc - N4.68
• The Okomu Oil Palm Plc - N4.04
• UACN Plc - N3.85
• Costain (WA) Plc - N3.45

Three equity prices were adjusted for dividend and/or bonus as recommended by the Board of Directors. Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc was adjusted for dividend of N0.06 and bonus of 1 for 5. STACO Insurance Plc was adjusted for Dividend of N0.12 per share. Red Star Express Plc was adjusted for dividend of N0.25 per share.

New Listing
The 2,000,000,000 shares in favour of FTN Cocoa Processors Plc were admitted to the Daily Official List at a price of N2.50 per share on Thursday, July 24, 2008 by way of Introduction. The shares were listed in the Agriculture/Agro-Allied subsector. By this action, the number of listed companies and securities increased to 225 and 318, respectively.

Supplementary Listing
A total of 648,633,443 shares were added to the shares outstanding in the name of Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc following the bonus of 1 for 5.

Suspension
Technical suspension was imposed on Union Bank of Nigeria Plc on Monday, July 21, 2008 on receiving the bank’s application to undertake supplementary share offering. Meanwhile, the full suspension on John Holt Plc was lifted having received satisfactory explanations from the Board of Directors on the dwindling fortunes of the company and plans to resuscitate the company. However, full suspension was imposed on BAICO Insurance Plc on Friday, July 25, 2008 having received notification from National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) that the Insurance Company did not meet the minimum recapitalization requirement.

COMPANY NEWS
STANBIC IBTC BANK PLC: Audited result for the 9-month ended 31st December 2007. The Directors are recommending a dividend of N0.25 per share. The date of closure of register of members was July 17, 2008 while payment date would be advised later. This announcement supersedes the N0.30 proposed dividend by the bank during the week ending July 18, 2008.

STANBIC IBTC BANK PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Gross Earnings of N40.12 billion, as against N7.7 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N8.2 billion compared with N2.2 billion in 2007.

FLOUR MILLS OF NIGERIA PLC: Audited result for the year ended 31st March 2008 shows Turnover of N127.7 billion as against N105.7 billion in 2007. Profit after tax stood at N6.4 billion compared with N7.5 billion in 2007. The Directors are recommending a dividend of N1.00 per share and bonus of 1 for 10. The date of closure of register of members is August 11, 2008 while payment date is September 18, 2008.

NIGERIAN BAG MANUFACTURING CO. PLC: Audited result for the year ended 31st March 2008 shows Turnover of N11.81 billion as against N11.0 billion in 2007. Profit after tax stood at N303.55 million compared with N1.1 billion in 2007. The Directors are recommending a dividend of N0.05 per share. The date of closure of register of members is August 15, 2008 while payment date is September 16, 2008.

ACADEMY PRESS PLC: Audited result for the year ended 31st March 2008 shows Turnover of N1.6 billion as against N1.42 billion in 2007. Profit after tax stood at N111.8 million compared with N79.14 million in 2007. The Directors are recommending a dividend of N0.06 per share and bonus of 1 for 2. The date of closure of register of members is August 11, 2008 while payment date is September 17, 2008.

NATIONAL SPORTS LOTTERY PLC: Audited result for the first quarter ended 31st March 2008. The Directors had earlier recommended an interim dividend of N0.10 per share. The date of closure of register of members is August 29, 2008 while payment date is September 15, 2008.

NATIONAL SPORTS LOTTERY PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N3.5 billion, as against N79 million during the year ended December 31, 2007. Profit before tax stood at N2.6 billion compared with loss after tax of N238 million during the year ended December 31, 2007.

REGENCY ALLIANCE INSURANCE PLC: Audited result for the year ended 31st December 2007 shows Gross Premium of N1.21 billion as against N671.92 million in 2006. Profit after tax stood at N237.54 million compared with N215.23 million in 2006. The Directors are recommending a bonus of 1 for 4. The date of closure of register of members is August 5, 2008. The Annual General Meeting (AGM) of shareholders is scheduled to hold at Ruby Hall, Golden Gate Chinese Restaurant, 25B Glover Road, Ikoyi Lagos on August 12, 2008 by 12noon.

ACCESS BANK PLC: Unaudited result for the first quarter ended 30th June 2008 shows Gross Earnings of N20.6 billion, as against N11.12 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N6.11 billion compared with N3.1 billion in 2007.

NIGERIAN AVIATION HANDLING CO. PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N2.35 billion, as against N1.7 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N453.95 million compared with N238.12 million in 2007.

UNILEVER NIGERIA PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N19.15 billion, as against N15.9 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N1.72 billion compared with N586 million in 2007.

UACN PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N22 billion, as against N17.6 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax and minority interest stood at N1.8 billion compared with N1.2 million in 2007.

UACN PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT CO. PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N5.25 billion, as against N2.4 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N1.74 billion compared with N615.7 million in 2007.

CONOIL PLC: Unaudited result for the first quarter ended 31st March 2008 shows Turnover of N32.9 billion, as against N16.14 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N1.1 billion compared with N429 million in 2007.

DN MEYER PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N1.11 billion, as against N961 million in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N34.8 million compared with N21.1 million in 2007.

LONGMAN NIGERIA PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N1.03 billion, as against N664.7 million in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N36.3 million compared with N20.9 million in 2007.

CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCTS PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N1.2 billion, as against N1.02 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax and extra-ordinary items stood at N336.65 million compared with N594.5 million in 2007.

DEAP CAPITAL MANAGEMENT & TRUST PLC: Unaudited result for the third quarter ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N1.2 billion, as against N418.5 million in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N626.23 million compared with N171.4 million in 2007.

ASO SAVINGS & LOANS PLC: Unaudited result for the first quarter ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N2.42 billion, as against N1.6 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N674.6 million compared with N223.8 million in 2007.

AG LEVENTIS (NIG) PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N5.1 billion, as against N3.2 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N488 million compared with N247.7 million in 2007.

PRESCO PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Turnover of N1.7 billion, as against N1.05 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N565.1 million compared with N211.4 million in 2007.

INTERLINKED TECHNOLOGIES PLC: Unaudited result for the third quarter ended 31st March 2008 shows Turnover of N120.45 million, as against N76.55 million in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N30.7 million compared with N2.31 million in 2007.

CRUSADER (NIGERIA) PLC: Unaudited result for the first quarter ended 31st March 2008 shows Turnover of N1.2 billion, as against N757.25 million in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N485.53 million compared with N196.05 million in 2007.

ROYAL EXCHANGE ASSURANCE (NIGERIA) PLC: Unaudited result for the half year ended 30th June 2008 shows Gross Premium of N2.1 billion, as against N1.65 billion in the comparable period of 2007. Profit after tax stood at N81.7 million compared with N62 million in 2007.

ELLAH LAKES PLC: Unaudited result for the third quarter ended 30th April 2008 shows Turnover of N31 million, as against N32.03 million in the comparable period of 2007. Profit before tax stood at N7.7 million compared with N2.81 million in 2007.

REPORT ON THE OTC MARKET FOR FGN BONDS
A turnover of 232.62 million units worth N232.6 billion in 2001 deals was recorded this week, in contrast to a total of 129.03 million units valued at N131.3 billion exchanged in 1092 deals during the week ended July 17, 2008. The most active bond (measured by turnover volume) was the 5th FGN Bond 2018 Series 2 with a traded volume of 24.6 million units valued at N22.42 billion in 230 deals.

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Must See TV

authordonne4real | July 27, 2008

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Zenith’s Outlook for 2nd half of ‘08

authordonne4real | July 24, 2008

Zenith Bank recently released their macro-economic outlook for the 2nd half of 2008. Here are the highlights:

  1. Slower activity in the first half of 2008 compared to a strong 2007.
  2. There is a potential for improvement in the second half of the year.
  3. The growth in price of crude oil is expected to slow
  4. A long term trend of strong growth in consumer spending is expected to slowed due to inflationary presssures.
  5. Inflationary pressures expected in this half
  6. Overweight position is Nigerian equities
  7. Increased government spending expected
  8. Recommend investors diversify

You can read the report here: Zenith - Macroeconomic Outlook For Nigeria H2 (9)

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CBN shifts deadline for banks adoption of common year end

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) yesterday shifted the deadline for Banks to adopt a uniform accounting year end to December 2009. This according to CBN was in response to “irrational behavior” of some banks in their attempt to mobilize deposits. The direct impact of this announcement could at least ease the current strain in liquidity created in a bidding continuum following the banking industry’s battle for deposits.

This could unravel a long sought key to unlock institutional funds. The key to market recovery in our view remains a total change in general mindset. We perceived that prevailing sentiment has been largely speculative and short-term, which has consistently denied the market the so desired rally and momentum. We can’t conclude without pointing out that this has, in a way, present opportunities for investors seeking long positions as some equities are currently trading in their oversold bands. Here is CSL Securities’ view of the impact of this announcement:

In our opinion, The CBN postponement by one year for banks to converge their year end may offer a respite both for the banking sector directly and also the capital market as the sector constitutes above 60% of the market capitalization of the Nigerian Stock Exchange. While the banks may heave a sigh of relief, stakeholders, especially Nigeria’s foreign partners and investors may worry about the credibility of CBN or question the decision-making process of the industry regulator, as policy somersaults have been the bane of the country both in the past and in the present times.

It can be hoped that Nigerian banks will put on their thinking caps to utilize this window of time extension to ensure an orderly convergence without doing damage to the banking sector and the economy as a whole. We also hope that regulatory authorities and managers of the Nigerian project will be more consultative and engaging with industry operators and stakeholders in making major policy decisions that impact on the economy.

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Company Results

Results for Livestock Feeds, Flour Mills of Nigeria, National Sports Lottery, DN Meyer, Aso Savings and Loans, Presco, Interlinked Technologies, Royal Exchange and AG Leventis:

A.G LEVENTIS PLC
HALF-YEAR
2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N7.5B N5.0B
PBT N990.00M N717.56M
TAX (N316.8M) (N229.61M)
PAT N673.2M N487.94M
ROYAL EXCHANGE PLC
HALF-YEAR
ENDED 30/06/08
2008 2007
TUNROVER N2.0B N1.65B
PBT N116.71M N88.51M
TAX (N35.0M) (N26.55M)
PAT N81.69M N61.95M
PRESCO PLC
HALF-YEAR ENDED 30/06/08
2008 2007
TUNROVER N1.68B N1.05B
PBT N580.75M N219.76M
TAX (N15.67M) (N8.39M)
PAT N565.07M N211.36M
INTERLINKED TECHNOLOGIES PLC
3RD QUARTER ENDED 30/03/08
2008 2007
TUNROVER N120.45M N76.55M
PBT N38.15M N2.65M
TAX (N7.5M) (N0.345M)
PAT N30.65M N2.31M
ASO SAVINGS & LOANS PLC
1ST QUARTER ENDED 30/06/08
2008 2007
TUNROVER N2.415M N1.59M
PBT N963.68M N319.72M
TAX (N289.1M) (N95.9M)
PAT N674.58M N223.80M
NATIONAL SPORTS LOTTERY PLC
UNAUDITED RESULT FOR HALF YEAR ENDED 30-06-2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N3.476b N79m
PBT N2.556b (N234m)
TAX NIL (N3m)
PAT N2.556b (N238m)
DNMEYER PLC
UNAUDITED RESULT FOR HALF YEAR ENDED 30-06-2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N1.114b N960.968m
PBT N49.678m N30.085m
TAX (N14.903m) (N9.025m)
PAT N34.775m N21.059m
FLOUR MILLS OF NIGERIA PLC
AUDITED RESULT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31-03-2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N127.661b N105.668b
PBT N9.878b N9.791b
TAX (N3.515b) (N2.317b)
PAT N6.363b N7.474b
LIVESTOCK FEEDS PLC
AUDITED ACCOUNT FOR 2007
2007
TURNOVER N931.97M
PBT N37.92M
TAX N19.68M
PAT N57.60M

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Results for Deap Capital, Ellah Lakes, and Crusader Insurance

authordonne4real | July 22, 2008

Results for Deap Capital, Ellah Lakes, and Crusader Insurance:



DEAP CAPITAL MGT & TRUST PLC
UNAUDITED
RESULT FOR 3RD QUARTER ENDED 30-06-2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N1.194b N418.485m
PBT N736.745m N201.646m
TAX (N110.512m) (N30.247m)
PAT N626.233m N171.399m
CRUSADER (NIGERIA) PLC
1ST QUARTER
UNAUDITED ACCOUNT FOR PERIOD ENDED 31ST MARCH 2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N1.158b N757.248m
PBT N52.441m N227.006m
TAX N34.909m N30.954m
PAT N485.532m N196.052m
ELLAH LAKES PLC
3RD QUARTER
UNAUDITED ACCOUNT FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 30TH APRIL 2008
2008 2007
TURNOVER N30.986m N32.027m
PBT N7.697m N2.806m
PAT N7.697m N2.806m

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Company Results

Results for Regency Alliance, Nigerian Enamelware, Nigerian Breweries, Unilever, Conoil, CAP PLC, and Access Bank.

REGENCY ALLIANCE INSURANCE PLC
AUDITED RESULT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31-12-2007

2007 2006
GROSS PREMIUM N783.875m N332.350m
PBT N262.540m N236.074m
TAX (N25.000m) (N20.845m)
PAT N237.540m N21.522m
PROPOSED BONUS ISSUE 1 FOR 4
CLOSURE DATE AUGUST 5TH 2008



NIGERIAN ENAMELWARE PLC

UNAUDITED RESULT FOR 1ST QUARTER ENDED 31-12-2007

2007 2006
TURNOVER N528.959m N622.664m
PBT N11.489m N7.076m
TAX (N3.676m) (N2.265m)
PAT N7.813m N4.811m



NB PLC

UNAUDITED RESULT FOR HALF YEAR ENDED 30-06-2008

2008 2007
TURNOVER N68.053b N51.870b
PBT N18.143b N12.647b
TAX (N5.805b) (N4.173b)
PAT N12.337b N8.474b



NIGERIAN AVIATION HANDLING CO. PLC
UNAUDITED RESULT FOR HALF YEAR ENDED 30-06-2008

2008 2007
TURNOVER N2.346b N1.668b
PBT N667.572m N350.182m
TAX (N213.623m) (N112.058m)
PAT N453.949m N238.124m



UNILELVER NIGERIA PLC

UNAIDTED RESULT FOR 6 MONTHS ENDED 30-06-2008

2008 2007
TURNOVER N19.146b N15.863b
PBT N2.530b N861m
TAX (N810m) (N275m)
PAT N1.720b N586m



CONOIL PLC

UNAUDITED RESULT FOR 3 MONTHS ENDED 31-03-2008

2008 2007
TURNOVER N32.902b N16.138b
PBT N1.598b N613m
TAX (N511m) (N184m)
PAT N1.087b N429m



CAP PLC

UNAUDITED RESULT FOR HALF YEAR ENDED 30-06-2008

2008 2007
TURNOVER N1.171b N1.022b
PBT N349.260m N259.698m
TAX (N111.776m) (N121.183m)
PAT N237.497m N138.515m
EXTRA ORDINARY ITEMS N99.153m N455.986m
PAT&EXTRA ORDINARY ITEMS N336.650m N594.501m.



ACCESS BANK PLC

UNAUDITED RESULT FOR 1ST QUARTER ENDED 30-06-2008

2008 2007
TURNOVER N20.576b N11.124b
PBT N8.036b N4.053b
TAX (N1.928b) (N972.946m)
PAT N6.107b N3.080b

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Additional Weekly Stock Reports

Additional Weekly Stock Reports from FSDH and Meristem Securities.

FSDH Weekly Report - July 18th (4)
Meristem Weekly Report - July 18th (11)

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